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Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Tristan Schoolkate

● quote 115 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $576.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $185.1KEvent: Guangzhou 2: Coleman Wong vs Tristan Schoolkate

Indicative prices · 115 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

2.0¢
Coleman Wong
99.9¢
Tristan Schoolkate
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets75Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:122 trades$46.2K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 146 min agoofficial metadata 113 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tristan Schoolkate · $11.7K net·9 wallets·$15.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTristan Schoolkate$6.9K@ 79¢·UpTheBlues

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$20.6K
tracked
$46.2K

9 verified profitable wallets: Tristan Schoolkate · $11.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 115 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 146 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 113 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Coleman Wong and Tristan Schoolkate in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Coleman Wong' if Coleman Wong advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Coleman Wong. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xbfd7…f0bf2 linked markets · $20 gross
0xd9c9…66862 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Tristan Schoolkate UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $27.4K → $2.2K · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Coleman Wong; negative values favor Tristan Schoolkate. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hColeman Wong · $0
6hTristan Schoolkate · $20.6K
24hTristan Schoolkate · $20.5K

Coleman Wong price VWAP

Volume-weighted Coleman Wong price. Tristan Schoolkate fills are converted to the complementary Coleman Wong probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current2.0¢
VWAP 24h42.81¢▼ below by 40.8pp
VWAP 7d42.81¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Coleman Wong price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.6K
80¢
$5.3K
75¢
$159
70¢
$76
65¢
$4.7K
60¢
$2.8K
55¢
$750
50¢
$60
45¢
$2.9K
40¢
$1.0K
35¢
$1.2K
30¢
$856
25¢
$404
20¢
$14.9K
15¢
$5.1K
10¢
$200
5¢
$58
0¢
← now
$2.2K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

UpTheBluesTristan Schoolkate$12.4K
BUY VWAP 79.04¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.