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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

● quote 229 min ago
Sports→BaseballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.8MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Indicative prices · 229 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays
99.9¢
Milwaukee Brewers
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets41Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 23 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:273 trades$422.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 235 min agoofficial metadata 226 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $79.7K net·23 wallets(2🐋)·$195.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$37.1K@ 62¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$9.1K
tracked
$422.7K

23 verified profitable wallets: Tampa Bay Rays · $79.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 229 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 235 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 226 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9b11…53755 linked markets · $45.3K gross
Flaznorp7 linked markets · $28.0K gross
HomeRunHazard5 linked markets · $25.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Milwaukee Brewers5h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Milwaukee Brewers@ 84.0¢5h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 70.0¢6h ago
15m INVALIDATED -22.0pp1h INVALIDATED -32.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 72.0¢7h ago
15m INVALIDATED -24.0pp1h INVALIDATED -33.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $520 → $103 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor Milwaukee Brewers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $0
6hTampa Bay Rays · $9.1K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $132.5K

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. Milwaukee Brewers fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h47.86¢▼ below by 46.9pp
VWAP 7d47.85¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.1K
80¢
$34.8K
75¢
$1.9K
70¢
$48.6K
65¢
$37.4K
60¢
$44.9K
55¢
$13.1K
50¢
$9.9K
45¢
$94.7K
40¢
$7.8K
35¢
$9.3K
30¢
$5.0K
25¢
$16.4K
20¢
$4.9K
15¢
$28.9K
10¢
$28.1K
5¢
$16.6K
0¢
← now
$18.2K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$12.6K@ 92.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—about 5 hours ago
SELLMilwaukee Brewers$22.8K@ 86.0¢0xe34b…03a3🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$13.2K@ 84.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$37.1K@ 62.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$13.3K@ 84.0¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers$13.5K@ 53.0¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$27.2K@ 47.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiiTampa Bay Rays$62.3K
BUY VWAP 62.63¢·30 fills
WoaifacaiTampa Bay Rays$37.1K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Tampa Bay Rays$27.2K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
0x9b11…5375Tampa Bay Rays$21.2K
BUY VWAP 74.70¢·8 fills
0F62Milwaukee Brewers$18.2K
BUY VWAP 89.38¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiiMilwaukee Brewers$16.1K
BUY VWAP 47.27¢·7 fills
madkkeeMilwaukee Brewers$13.5K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
madkkeeTampa Bay Rays$13.3K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill
FlaznorpMilwaukee Brewers$13.2K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.