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Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)

Sports→SoccerSettlement: Columbus CrewLiquidity: $104.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $208.4KEvent: Columbus Crew vs. D.C. United SC - More Markets
100.0¢
Columbus Crew payout
0.0¢
D.C. United SC payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:D.C. United SC · $211 net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$80.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYColumbus Crew$16.1K@ 43¢·theowalcott

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Columbus Crew. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Columbus Crew" if Columbus Crew win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "D.C. United SC".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for October 31 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Columbus Crew" if Columbus Crew win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "D.C. United SC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
theowalcott2 linked markets · $38.3K gross
Flaznorp6 linked markets · $20.1K gross
LonnieHawkins2 linked markets · $18.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Columbus Crew2d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY D.C. United SC@ 57.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -35.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Columbus Crew@ 45.0¢2d ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h CONFIRMED +31.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Columbus Crew; negative values favor D.C. United SC. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hColumbus Crew · $140
6hD.C. United SC · $9.2K
24hD.C. United SC · $9.3K

Columbus Crew price VWAP

Volume-weighted Columbus Crew price. D.C. United SC fills are converted to the complementary Columbus Crew probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h43.5¢▲ above by 56.5pp
VWAP 7d43.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Columbus Crew price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$140
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$385
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$20
50¢
$0
45¢
$55
40¢
$89.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYColumbus Crew$16.1K@ 43.21¢
theowalcott0x7ad7…42aa
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

theowalcottColumbus Crew$35.7K
BUY VWAP 43.48¢·7 fills
ferrariChampions2026D.C. United SC$25.7K
BUY VWAP 57.77¢·5 fills
FlaznorpD.C. United SC$14.4K
BUY VWAP 55.99¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.