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Set 2 Winner: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima

Sports→TennisSettlement: Hamad MedjedovicLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.4KEvent: Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima
100.0¢
Hamad Medjedovic payout
0.0¢
Brandon Nakashima payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:8 trades$306 trackedsource coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hamad Medjedovic · $94 net·2 wallets·$123 gross

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Hamad Medjedovic. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-26 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Hamad Medjedovic” if Hamad Medjedovic wins set 2. It will resolve to “Brandon Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hamad Medjedovic and Brandon Nakashima in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Hamad Medjedovic” if Hamad Medjedovic wins set 2. It will resolve to “Brandon Nakashima” if Brandon Nakashima wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 14m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 14m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x30f6…004f2 linked markets · $184 gross
0xc470…c7922 linked markets · $47 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hamad Medjedovic; negative values favor Brandon Nakashima. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHamad Medjedovic · $117
6hHamad Medjedovic · $229
24hHamad Medjedovic · $229

Hamad Medjedovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hamad Medjedovic price. Brandon Nakashima fills are converted to the complementary Hamad Medjedovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h39.8¢▲ above by 60.2pp
VWAP 7d39.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hamad Medjedovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
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$150
35¢
$134
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$21
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$0
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VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.