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Set 2 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul

Sports→TennisSettlement: Tommy PaulLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $4.3KEvent: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul
0.0¢
Daniil Medvedev payout
100.0¢
Tommy Paul payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:5 trades$209 trackedsource coverage 5%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 72 min agoofficial metadata 29 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tommy Paul. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-23 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Daniil Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins set 2. It will resolve to “Tommy Paul” if Tommy Paul wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Daniil Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins set 2. It will resolve to “Tommy Paul” if Tommy Paul wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 30m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 30m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $13.3K gross
0x7be1…200e2 linked markets · $160 gross
0x84d6…c2b43 linked markets · $36 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniil Medvedev; negative values favor Tommy Paul. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTommy Paul · $178
6hTommy Paul · $178
24hTommy Paul · $178

Daniil Medvedev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniil Medvedev price. Tommy Paul fills are converted to the complementary Daniil Medvedev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h9.0¢▼ below by 9.0pp
VWAP 7d9.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daniil Medvedev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$7
45¢
$0
40¢
$17
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$5
0¢
← now
$180

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.