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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Geopolitics→Closes: 9 monthsLiquidity: $454.6K24h Vol: $14.1M
26.0¢
YES
73.0¢
NO
41.0¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 2 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:365 trades1% 🐋24% YES76% NO
💡 Smart money 7d:NO 56%·2 wallets·$192
🏆 Biggest bet:NO$12.0K@ 74¢·0x856e…efae

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h$11.4K
6h$9.8K
24h$24.0K

VWAP vs Price

VWAP = Volume Weighted Average Price — the true average price weighted by how much money traded at each level. Current price above VWAP = overbought vs recent activity. Below = trading at a discount.
Current26.0¢
VWAP 24h62.0¢▼ discount
VWAP 7d60.4¢
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 7d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$275
70¢
$38.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$59
25¢
← now
$17.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$12.0K@ 73.7¢0x856e…efae🐋+1.0%1 day ago

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💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
GollumGekkoNO$108
AhpoYES$84