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Michigan State vs. UCLA

Sports→American FootballSettlement: UCLALiquidity: $177.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $753.9KEvent: Michigan State vs. UCLA
0.0¢
Michigan State payout
100.0¢
UCLA payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:84 trades$427.8K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 57%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 581 min agoofficial metadata 552 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:UCLA · $223.8K net·11 wallets(2🐋)·$277.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUCLA$104.9K@ 89¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome UCLA. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-24 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game.

•This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Michigan State and UCLA, scheduled for October 24 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Michigan State" if Michigan State win the game. This market will resolve to "UCLA" if UCLA win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $12.8K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $11.4K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $8.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL UCLA@ 88.0¢12h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -11.9pp6h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY UCLA@ 85.0¢13h ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY UCLA13h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY UCLA@ 73.0¢13h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +19.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: UCLA DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $16.9K → $99 · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michigan State; negative values favor UCLA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMichigan State · $231
6hUCLA · $354.8K
24hUCLA · $366.8K

Michigan State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michigan State price. UCLA fills are converted to the complementary Michigan State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h13.95¢▼ below by 14.0pp
VWAP 7d13.95¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michigan State price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.5K
30¢
$18.2K
25¢
$13.2K
20¢
$30.5K
15¢
$41.5K
10¢
$309.3K
5¢
$1
0¢
← now
$13.6K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUCLA$13.2K@ 99.85¢
omoi0i00xb3cf…0ebd
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYUCLA$104.9K@ 89.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYUCLA$19.1K@ 89.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYUCLA$44.5K@ 89.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYUCLA$19.8K@ 83.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYUCLA$18.3K@ 83.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYUCLA$23.4K@ 78.0¢
iDARKenjoyer0xf68a…5b1b
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYUCLA$12.2K@ 73.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYMichigan State$18.3K@ 13.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYUCLA$34.4K@ 87.0¢
9995850x88a6…7e77
🐋—about 13 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

iDARKenjoyerUCLA$116.8K
BUY VWAP 84.22¢·6 fills
0x2c33…0563UCLA$104.9K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·1 fill
999585UCLA$46.5K
BUY VWAP 82.85¢·2 fills
sifonmanUCLA$26.8K
BUY VWAP 89.0¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Michigan State$18.3K
BUY VWAP 13.0¢·1 fill
TAIWANNUMBERONEUCLA$16.0K
BUY VWAP 68.72¢·3 fills
omoi0i0UCLA$15.2K
BUY VWAP 97.20¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cUCLA$12.6K
BUY VWAP 89.22¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.