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Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $983.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $564.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
0.1¢
Team Falcons
100.0¢
Spirit
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets4Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:138 trades$195.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Falcons · $2.7K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$65.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Falcons$13.2K@ 44¢·cruzNBA

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Falcons pressure: $2.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.8K
6h
+$41.0K
tracked
$195.9K

10 verified profitable wallets: Team Falcons · $2.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Falcons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-09 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Spirit.

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against Team Falcons.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Team Falcons and Spirit in the ESL Pro League Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 1 against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 1 against Team Falcons. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $553.3K gross
YEEES-but-why2 linked markets · $93.1K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria2 linked markets · $77.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Spirit UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $30.0K → $6.2K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Falcons; negative values favor Spirit. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Falcons · $2.8K
6hTeam Falcons · $41.0K
24hTeam Falcons · $42.2K

Team Falcons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Falcons price. Spirit fills are converted to the complementary Team Falcons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h24.9¢▼ below by 24.8pp
VWAP 7d25.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Falcons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.1K
50¢
$4.4K
45¢
$18.8K
40¢
$71.5K
35¢
$5.3K
30¢
$2.5K
25¢
$0
20¢
$80
15¢
$10.0K
10¢
$5.3K
5¢
$30.5K
0¢
← now
$49.0K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSpirit$10.7K@ 99.9¢
ex1le0xb6bf…ec1a
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYTeam Falcons$13.2K@ 43.6¢
cruzNBA0x880b…c98b
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

cruzNBATeam Falcons$15.2K
BUY VWAP 44.5¢·2 fills
JustADonkSpirit$11.9K
BUY VWAP 83.4¢·4 fills
fantasy7788Team Falcons$11.0K
BUY VWAP 44.1¢·2 fills
ex1leSpirit$10.7K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.