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West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies

● quote 1 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $57.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $452.6KEvent: West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies
0.1¢
India
100.0¢
West Indies
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets9Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution92Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:127 trades$138.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 25 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:West Indies · $417 net·5 wallets·$4.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLWest Indies$16.3K@ 99¢·blket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

India pressure: $14.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$14.4K
6h
+$57.6K
tracked
$138.1K

5 verified profitable wallets: West Indies · $417 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -89.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 25 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from India or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 13:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between India and West Indies scheduled for October 9 2026 at 9:30 AM ET in West Indies Tour of India T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY India@ 90.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h STALLED +2.0pp
Latest book event: India DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $171 → $456 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor India; negative values favor West Indies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hIndia · $14.4K
6hIndia · $57.6K
24hIndia · $59.6K

India price VWAP

Volume-weighted India price. West Indies fills are converted to the complementary India probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h38.5¢▼ below by 38.4pp
VWAP 7d38.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

India price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$3.1K
90¢
$27.9K
85¢
$3.5K
80¢
$11.1K
75¢
$4.3K
70¢
$1.6K
65¢
$40
60¢
$3.5K
55¢
$2.8K
50¢
$53
45¢
$1.9K
40¢
$25
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$10.1K
5¢
$15.1K
0¢
← now
$50.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLWest Indies$16.3K@ 99.4¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYWest Indies$15.0K@ 91.4¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYIndia$10.4K@ 93.0¢
coinlaundry0xe8d7…1252
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

coinlaundryIndia$23.2K
BUY VWAP 91.1¢·6 fills
blketWest Indies$19.4K
BUY VWAP 83.6¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.