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UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Sports→Combat SportsSettlement: Chelsea ChandlerLiquidity: $170.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $160.5KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
100.0¢
Chelsea Chandler payout
0.0¢
Melissa Croden payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMelissa Croden$77.3K@ 76¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Chelsea Chandler. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-18 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chelsea Chandler" if Chelsea Chandler is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Croden at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Melissa Croden" if Melissa Croden is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Chelsea Chandler" if Chelsea Chandler is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Croden at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Melissa Croden" if Melissa Croden is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Melissa Croden@ 77.0¢12d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chelsea Chandler; negative values favor Melissa Croden. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChelsea Chandler · $0
6hChelsea Chandler · $0
24hMelissa Croden · $77.1K

Chelsea Chandler price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chelsea Chandler price. Melissa Croden fills are converted to the complementary Chelsea Chandler probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h24.86¢▲ above by 75.1pp
VWAP 7d24.96¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chelsea Chandler price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$935
90¢
$4
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$9.9K
20¢
$79.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMelissa Croden$77.3K@ 76.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—12 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.