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UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Sports→Combat SportsSettlement: Mandel NalloLiquidity: $182.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $213.1KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)
0.0¢
Nate Landwehr payout
100.0¢
Mandel Nallo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMandel Nallo$13.0K@ 72¢·Raisuu

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mandel Nallo. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-18 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nate Landwehr" if Nate Landwehr is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mandel Nallo at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Nate Landwehr" if Nate Landwehr is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mandel Nallo at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 17d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Mandel Nallo17d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Mandel Nallo@ 73.0¢17d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Mandel Nallo@ 73.0¢17d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nate Landwehr; negative values favor Mandel Nallo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMandel Nallo · $14.7K
6hMandel Nallo · $66.1K
24hMandel Nallo · $66.1K

Nate Landwehr price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nate Landwehr price. Mandel Nallo fills are converted to the complementary Nate Landwehr probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h17.35¢▼ below by 17.3pp
VWAP 7d17.51¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nate Landwehr price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$63.9K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$1.6K
5¢
$17.4K
0¢
← now
$24.9K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMandel Nallo$11.7K@ 99.9¢
Raisuu0xc4a6…4e4e
🐋—17 days ago
BUYMandel Nallo$10.6K@ 73.0¢
Raisuu0xc4a6…4e4e
🐋—17 days ago
BUYMandel Nallo$13.0K@ 72.0¢
Raisuu0xc4a6…4e4e
🐋—17 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.