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UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)

Sports→Combat SportsSettlement: Marc-Andre BarriaultLiquidity: $202.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $167.8KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Kyle Daukaus vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (Middleweight, Main Card)
0.0¢
Kyle Daukaus payout
100.0¢
Marc-Andre Barriault payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKyle Daukaus$11.5K@ 64¢·Raisuu

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Marc-Andre Barriault. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-18 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Marc-Andre Barriault" if Marc-Andre Barriault is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Kyle Daukaus" if Kyle Daukaus is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marc-Andre Barriault at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026. It will resolve to "Marc-Andre Barriault" if Marc-Andre Barriault is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 31, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kyle Daukaus; negative values favor Marc-Andre Barriault. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKyle Daukaus · $0
6hKyle Daukaus · $0
24hKyle Daukaus · $16.9K

Kyle Daukaus price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kyle Daukaus price. Marc-Andre Barriault fills are converted to the complementary Kyle Daukaus probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h47.7¢▼ below by 47.7pp
VWAP 7d48.08¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kyle Daukaus price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$1.4K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$603
65¢
$11.9K
60¢
$29.3K
55¢
$612
50¢
$490
45¢
$460
40¢
$127
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$15.6K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKyle Daukaus$11.5K@ 64.0¢
Raisuu0xc4a6…4e4e
🐋—17 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.