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Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $185.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $477.9KEvent: Korea Open: Maya Joint vs Kimberly Birrell
0.1¢
Maya Joint
100.0¢
Kimberly Birrell
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection51Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:181 trades$238.8K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maya Joint · $5.8K net·13 wallets·$17.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLKimberly Birrell$54.3K@ 100¢·HectorHuang

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Maya Joint pressure: $121.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$121.4K
6h
+$84.5K
tracked
$238.8K

13 verified profitable wallets: Maya Joint · $5.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +64.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 64.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Maya Joint or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-04 06:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maya Joint and Kimberly Birrell in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maya Joint' if Maya Joint advances against Kimberly Birrell. This market will resolve to 'Kimberly Birrell' if Kimberly Birrell advances against Maya Joint. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Kimberly Birrell2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Kimberly Birrell@ 36.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +22.0pp1h CONFIRMED +59.0pp
Latest book event: Maya Joint DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $21.9K → $6.4K · 33s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maya Joint; negative values favor Kimberly Birrell. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaya Joint · $121.4K
6hMaya Joint · $84.5K
24hMaya Joint · $81.6K

Maya Joint price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maya Joint price. Kimberly Birrell fills are converted to the complementary Maya Joint probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h30.1¢▼ below by 30.0pp
VWAP 7d30.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maya Joint price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$3
70¢
$11.4K
65¢
$32.1K
60¢
$29.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$668
45¢
$18.8K
40¢
$6.9K
35¢
$2.5K
30¢
$17.2K
25¢
$561
20¢
$15.6K
15¢
$9
10¢
$373
5¢
$20.8K
0¢
← now
$82.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKimberly Birrell$54.3K@ 99.9¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—27 minutes ago
SELLKimberly Birrell$10.4K@ 99.9¢
ORI-0x3414…51a1
🐋—29 minutes ago
SELLKimberly Birrell$16.6K@ 91.8¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLKimberly Birrell$15.3K@ 77.9¢
Antblack0x9c68…247a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLKimberly Birrell$13.8K@ 68.9¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKimberly Birrell$10.2K@ 51.0¢
AGUGava0x0353…c2ff
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKimberly Birrell$10.0K@ 34.7¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYKimberly Birrell$10.0K@ 39.1¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HectorHuangKimberly Birrell$20.0K
BUY VWAP 36.8¢·2 fills
AntblackKimberly Birrell$11.8K
BUY VWAP 31.3¢·3 fills
AGUGavaKimberly Birrell$10.2K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.