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Avalanche vs. Devils

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: 4 minutesLiquidity: $40.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $584.7KEvent: Avalanche vs. Devils
48.5¢
Avalanche
51.5¢
Devils
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection60Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:44 trades$278.8K tracked11% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 14 min agoofficial metadata 55s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Avalanche · $5.6K net·2 wallets·$5.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAvalanche$68.4K@ 49¢·Sassy-Bucket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Avalanche pressure: $166.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$166.5K
6h
+$220.3K
tracked
$278.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: Avalanche · $5.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 14 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Avalanche or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-20 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche".

•If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $13.3K gross
dv-pm2 linked markets · $8.7K gross
iWasEnough3 linked markets · $59 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Avalanche@ 49.0¢53m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Avalanche@ 48.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Devils@ 52.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Avalanche; negative values favor Devils. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAvalanche · $166.5K
6hAvalanche · $220.3K
24hAvalanche · $204.8K

Avalanche price VWAP

Volume-weighted Avalanche price. Devils fills are converted to the complementary Avalanche probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h48.9¢▼ below by 0.4pp
VWAP 7d48.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Avalanche price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$10.7K
45¢
← now
$268.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAvalanche$62.2K@ 49.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAvalanche$68.4K@ 49.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAvalanche$38.3K@ 49.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAvalanche$50.8K@ 48.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYDevils$12.2K@ 51.0¢
taylorsversion0xb9c7…aade
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketAvalanche$230.4K
BUY VWAP 48.8¢·7 fills
taylorsversionDevils$20.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
SharkbetX-comDevils$10.1K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.