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Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: 49ersLiquidity: $152.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $152.0KEvent: 49ers vs. Seahawks
0.0¢
Seahawks payout
100.0¢
49ers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeahawks$17.5K@ 54¢·ferrariChampions2026

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 49ers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-11 20:25 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "49ers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between 49ers and Seahawks, scheduled for October 11 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if the Seahawks win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "49ers". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY 49ers18d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY 49ers@ 47.0¢18d ago
15m CONFIRMED +16.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 56.0¢18d ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h STALLED +3.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Seahawks; negative values favor 49ers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h49ers · $5
6hSeahawks · $12.6K
24hSeahawks · $12.6K

Seahawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Seahawks price. 49ers fills are converted to the complementary Seahawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h54.57¢▼ below by 54.6pp
VWAP 7d54.57¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Seahawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$39.5K
50¢
$17.6K
45¢
$35
40¢
$0
35¢
$346
30¢
$3
25¢
$70
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$6
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeahawks$17.5K@ 54.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—18 days ago
BUY49ers$17.1K@ 45.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—18 days ago
BUYSeahawks$16.1K@ 55.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—18 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.