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Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: Ohio StateLiquidity: $619.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $746.4KEvent: Ohio State vs. Iowa
100.0¢
Ohio State payout
0.0¢
Iowa payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ohio State. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game by 15 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iowa".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Iowa". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Ohio State32d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Ohio State32d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Ohio State@ 51.0¢32d ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Ohio State@ 51.0¢32d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ohio State; negative values favor Iowa. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOhio State · $5.0K
6hIowa · $47.0K
24hIowa · $52.4K

Ohio State price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ohio State price. Iowa fills are converted to the complementary Ohio State probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.64¢▲ above by 48.4pp
VWAP 7d51.62¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIowa$41.9K@ 50.99¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIowa$30.1K@ 50.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIowa$24.5K@ 51.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIowa$25.3K@ 50.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYOhio State$24.5K@ 51.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYOhio State$10.1K@ 51.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYIowa$22.9K@ 50.0¢
User12443220xe558…dcd2
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYOhio State$76.3K@ 50.0¢
primm0xd38b…5029
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYOhio State$14.7K@ 49.0¢
chanello0xf3a6…71bd
🐋—about 1 month ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.