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Florida vs. Missouri

Sports→American FootballSettlement: MissouriLiquidity: $611.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.1MEvent: Florida vs. Missouri
0.0¢
Florida payout
100.0¢
Missouri payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Missouri · $196.3K net·13 wallets(4🐋)·$625.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlorida$78.8K@ 69¢·ethanaz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Missouri. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-03 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Florida and Missouri, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Florida" if Florida win the game. This market will resolve to "Missouri" if Missouri win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ethanaz2 linked markets · $325.6K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $125.8K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $93.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Missouri6d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Florida@ 35.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h INVALIDATED -33.9pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Missouri@ 58.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +28.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Missouri6d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Florida; negative values favor Missouri. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlorida · $921
6hMissouri · $239.0K
24hMissouri · $231.9K

Florida price VWAP

Volume-weighted Florida price. Missouri fills are converted to the complementary Florida probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.2¢▼ below by 48.2pp
VWAP 7d48.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Florida price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$208
70¢
$37.5K
65¢
$241.8K
60¢
$30.6K
55¢
$118.8K
50¢
$63.3K
45¢
$21.6K
40¢
$158.0K
35¢
$82.4K
30¢
$26.3K
25¢
$25.9K
20¢
$1.3K
15¢
$75.1K
10¢
$135
5¢
$13.7K
0¢
← now
$30.7K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMissouri$46.1K@ 83.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—6 days ago
BUYFlorida$16.9K@ 33.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$22.0K@ 63.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—6 days ago
SELLFlorida$14.2K@ 35.0¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$10.8K@ 65.0¢
mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d
🐋—6 days ago
BUYFlorida$24.8K@ 42.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYFlorida$28.0K@ 42.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$23.1K@ 41.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$57.2K@ 49.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$13.1K@ 56.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$11.2K@ 56.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$15.4K@ 55.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$19.4K@ 56.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$18.4K@ 43.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$21.5K@ 44.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$35.6K@ 43.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$14.3K@ 39.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$12.6K@ 33.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYFlorida$20.0K@ 65.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$15.8K@ 35.0¢
Katalunygeaxvhj0xf6dd…ac58
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$12.8K@ 35.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYMissouri$13.0K@ 27.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYFlorida$78.8K@ 69.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYFlorida$23.0K@ 68.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—6 days ago
BUYFlorida$17.6K@ 68.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ethanazMissouri$233.8K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·14 fills
0x2c33…0563Florida$92.7K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·4 fills
ethanazFlorida$78.8K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
mooseborzoiiMissouri$46.3K
BUY VWAP 62.7¢·10 fills
fkcvffcjtMissouri$46.1K
BUY VWAP 83.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Missouri$44.0K
BUY VWAP 60.5¢·3 fills
betdgeMissouri$42.2K
BUY VWAP 46.8¢·20 fills
0x2c33…0563Missouri$31.1K
BUY VWAP 38.3¢·2 fills
mooseborzoiiFlorida$28.9K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·10 fills
ferrariChampions2026Florida$20.0K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.