Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?

● quote 20s ago
GeopoliticsPoliticsCloses: about 1 monthLiquidity: $80.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $90.3KEvent: Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
86.0¢
YES
14.1¢
NO
3.3¢
Spread
anomaly0direction0wallets98execution74priority0data 59%💡 3 smart
24h sample:33 trades$31.5K trackedsource coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 169 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $1.4K net·3 wallets·$1.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLYES$8.6K@ 77¢·sodas

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$1.0K
tracked
$31.5K

3 verified profitable wallets: NO · $1.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.3¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Observed tape is 169 minutes old.
  • Spread is 3.3¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.

Read full resolution rules

On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
subjec2 linked markets · $19.6K gross
davisb122 linked markets · $11.6K gross
Newshound3 linked markets · $8.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

1hYES · $0
6hNO · $1.0K
24hNO · $20.4K

YES price VWAP

Current86.0¢
VWAP 24h78.0¢▲ above by 8.0pp
VWAP 7d74.7¢
Largest observed holders

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$1.1K
90¢
$1.2K
85¢
← now
$1.3K
80¢
$803
75¢
$28.8K
70¢
$67.6K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.