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Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova

Sports→Settlement: Liudmila SamsonovaLiquidity: $483.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $728.7KEvent: Guadalajara Open Akron: Kayla Day vs Liudmila Samsonova
0.0¢
Kayla Day payout
100.0¢
Liudmila Samsonova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:335 trades$266.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 562 min agoofficial metadata 147 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liudmila Samsonova · $50.5K net·17 wallets(1🐋)·$120.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiudmila Samsonova$16.0K@ 61¢·RebornAthena

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Liudmila Samsonova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-23 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kayla Day and Liudmila Samsonova in the Guadalajara Open Akron, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kayla Day' if Kayla Day advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Kayla Day. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Kayla Day@ 66.7¢10h ago
15m INVALIDATED -62.6pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Liudmila Samsonova12h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Liudmila Samsonova@ 58.0¢12h ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.0pp1h CONFIRMED +9.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Liudmila Samsonova UP 6.9pp · near-book depth $162 → $81 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kayla Day; negative values favor Liudmila Samsonova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiudmila Samsonova · $40.0K
6hLiudmila Samsonova · $39.7K
24hLiudmila Samsonova · $39.7K

Kayla Day price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kayla Day price. Liudmila Samsonova fills are converted to the complementary Kayla Day probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h32.5¢▼ below by 32.5pp
VWAP 7d32.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kayla Day price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$301
60¢
$20.4K
55¢
$24.7K
50¢
$30.4K
45¢
$8.7K
40¢
$19.7K
35¢
$38.9K
30¢
$23.5K
25¢
$759
20¢
$25.7K
15¢
$10.8K
10¢
$1.1K
5¢
$4.3K
0¢
← now
$57.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLiudmila Samsonova$10.2K@ 99.9¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 9 hours ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$10.0K@ 98.0¢
blket0xb5db…5800
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$13.3K@ 49.8¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$11.9K@ 45.5¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$10.4K@ 42.9¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYKayla Day$14.1K@ 60.0¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYLiudmila Samsonova$16.0K@ 61.0¢
RebornAthena0x081e…f76e
🐋—about 12 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Liudmila Samsonova$47.6K
BUY VWAP 45.2¢·9 fills
RN1Kayla Day$18.4K
BUY VWAP 54.1¢·9 fills
RebornAthenaLiudmila Samsonova$16.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
0xwiseKayla Day$13.4K
BUY VWAP 28.7¢·5 fills
tradecraftKayla Day$12.0K
BUY VWAP 38.6¢·9 fills
0x2c33…0563Liudmila Samsonova$11.9K
BUY VWAP 61.5¢·3 fills
blketLiudmila Samsonova$10.0K
BUY VWAP 98.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.