Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Tiafoe pressure: $22.6K net directional flow in 1h.
3 verified profitable wallets: Tiafoe · $54.0K net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 77% · priority 0
Since latest large flow: +55.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tiafoe or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
•This market will resolve to "Shelton" if Ben Shelton wins by 2 or more sets than Frances Tiafoe, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tiafoe."
•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ben Shelton can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tiafoe."
This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Frances Tiafoe in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Shelton" if Ben Shelton wins by 2 or more sets than Frances Tiafoe, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Tiafoe." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Ben Shelton can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Tiafoe." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Shelton price VWAP
Largest holders
Shelton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.