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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

● quote 2 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $450.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $446.1KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
6.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies
99.9¢
Atlanta Braves
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 13 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:214 trades$220.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 48s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $38.0K net·13 wallets(1🐋)·$60.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$25.9K@ 70¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Philadelphia Phillies pressure: $5.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$5.7K
6h
+$161.6K
tracked
$220.3K

13 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $38.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 17.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Philadelphia Phillies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-18 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 11 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $68.0K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $8.1K gross
0x4f22 linked markets · $1.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 83.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -19.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 83.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -19.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Philadelphia Phillies DOWN 11.0pp · near-book depth $17 → $209 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Atlanta Braves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $5.7K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $161.6K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $161.6K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Atlanta Braves fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current6.0¢
VWAP 24h69.0¢▼ below by 63.1pp
VWAP 7d69.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$64.1K
80¢
$37.9K
75¢
$9.0K
70¢
$42.4K
65¢
$25.3K
60¢
$31
55¢
$1.6K
50¢
$7.8K
45¢
$9.4K
40¢
$3.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$4.4K
25¢
$243
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$14.7K

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$10.3K@ 86.0¢
edge77770xdf60…08c7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$13.1K@ 86.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$10.3K@ 82.0¢
edge77770xdf60…08c7
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$25.9K@ 70.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$16.7K@ 65.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Philadelphia Phillies$46.4K
BUY VWAP 68.1¢·3 fills
edge7777Philadelphia Phillies$28.6K
BUY VWAP 83.4¢·3 fills
sifonmanPhiladelphia Phillies$23.4K
BUY VWAP 79.6¢·3 fills
mermlokPhiladelphia Phillies$16.4K
BUY VWAP 83.6¢·4 fills
VibeDoterPhiladelphia Phillies$13.4K
BUY VWAP 84.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.