Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
Frances Tiafoe pressure: $45.2K net directional flow in 1h.
28 verified profitable wallets: Ben Shelton · $36.2K net over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 74% · priority 0
Since latest liquidity absorption: +13.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Frances Tiafoe or execution deteriorates.
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Ben Shelton in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Ben Shelton. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Outcome Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Frances Tiafoe price VWAP
Largest holders
Frances Tiafoe price Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.