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Genoa: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Stefano Travaglia

● quote 22s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $290.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $417.8KEvent: Genoa: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Stefano Travaglia
100.0¢
Enrico Dalla Valle
0.1¢
Stefano Travaglia
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets92Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:112 trades$147.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Enrico Dalla Valle · $11.4K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$12.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYEnrico Dalla Valle$19.8K@ 46¢·0x78be…bde0

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Stefano Travaglia pressure: $6.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$6.3K
6h
+$6.7K
tracked
$147.3K

6 verified profitable wallets: Enrico Dalla Valle · $11.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +56.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 56.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Stefano Travaglia or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-17 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Enrico Dalla Valle and Stefano Travaglia in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Enrico Dalla Valle' if Enrico Dalla Valle advances against Stefano Travaglia. This market will resolve to 'Stefano Travaglia' if Stefano Travaglia advances against Enrico Dalla Valle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Enrico Dalla Valle@ 44.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -22.0pp1h CONFIRMED +31.0pp
Latest book event: Stefano Travaglia DOWN 4.4pp · near-book depth $4 → $7 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Enrico Dalla Valle; negative values favor Stefano Travaglia. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hStefano Travaglia · $6.3K
6hEnrico Dalla Valle · $6.7K
24hEnrico Dalla Valle · $6.7K

Enrico Dalla Valle price VWAP

Volume-weighted Enrico Dalla Valle price. Stefano Travaglia fills are converted to the complementary Enrico Dalla Valle probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.6¢▲ above by 34.3pp
VWAP 7d65.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Enrico Dalla Valle price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$40.8K
90¢
$12.1K
85¢
$2.6K
80¢
$1.8K
75¢
$648
70¢
$2.5K
65¢
$9.6K
60¢
$2.5K
55¢
$2.1K
50¢
$56
45¢
$49.7K
40¢
$5.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$4.0K
25¢
$10.6K
20¢
$3.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYEnrico Dalla Valle$11.3K@ 97.3¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLEnrico Dalla Valle$10.9K@ 90.0¢
unknownloser10x5c50…e0c9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEnrico Dalla Valle$10.0K@ 47.0¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYEnrico Dalla Valle$19.8K@ 46.1¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x78be…bde0Enrico Dalla Valle$38.7K
BUY VWAP 47.1¢·4 fills
FlaznorpEnrico Dalla Valle$11.8K
BUY VWAP 97.2¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.