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Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Jack Pinnington Jones

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $70.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $311.1KEvent: Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Jack Pinnington Jones
45.5¢
Inaki Montes payout
54.5¢
Jack Pinnington Jones payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Inaki Montes · $44.7K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$45.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInaki Montes$33.1K@ 94¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-11 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Inaki Montes and Jack Pinnington Jones in the Manacor, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Inaki Montes' if Inaki Montes advances against Jack Pinnington Jones. This market will resolve to 'Jack Pinnington Jones' if Jack Pinnington Jones advances against Inaki Montes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Inaki Montes@ 95.0¢4d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Inaki Montes@ 95.0¢4d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Inaki Montes@ 95.0¢4d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Inaki Montes@ 95.0¢4d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Inaki Montes; negative values favor Jack Pinnington Jones. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInaki Montes · $130.7K
6hInaki Montes · $105.6K
24hInaki Montes · $105.6K

Inaki Montes price VWAP

Volume-weighted Inaki Montes price. Jack Pinnington Jones fills are converted to the complementary Inaki Montes probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h81.8¢▼ below by 36.3pp
VWAP 7d81.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Inaki Montes price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$12.1K
90¢
$94.7K
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$9.5K
75¢
$24.3K
70¢
$2.0K
65¢
$2.8K
60¢
$7
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.3K
45¢
← now
$18.5K
40¢
$11.1K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYInaki Montes$14.3K@ 94.0¢
Do-Not-Redeem0xad89…f6e1
🐋—4 days ago
BUYInaki Montes$33.1K@ 93.6¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—4 days ago
BUYInaki Montes$22.3K@ 93.0¢
yesmate0x5d76…9168
🐋—4 days ago
BUYInaki Montes$24.3K@ 78.5¢0x004c…bb89🐋—4 days ago
BUYJack Pinnington Jones$18.5K@ 51.4¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cInaki Montes$37.8K
BUY VWAP 93.7¢·2 fills
0x004c…bb89Inaki Montes$33.9K
BUY VWAP 79.2¢·3 fills
yesmateInaki Montes$32.4K
BUY VWAP 93.2¢·4 fills
Do-Not-RedeemInaki Montes$23.7K
BUY VWAP 94.0¢·2 fills
kkookkooJack Pinnington Jones$18.5K
BUY VWAP 51.4¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.