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US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $276.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
88.5¢
Aryna Sabalenka
11.5¢
Linda Noskova
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:174 trades$457.9K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aryna Sabalenka · $60.7K net·12 wallets(1🐋)·$96.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAryna Sabalenka$39.7K@ 72¢·0x4247…91c4

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Aryna Sabalenka SETUP
What the tape says

Aryna Sabalenka pressure: $125.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$125.9K
6h
+$235.9K
tracked
$457.9K

12 verified profitable wallets: Aryna Sabalenka · $60.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 66

Since latest accumulation: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aryna Sabalenka or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-15 15:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Linda Noskova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 11:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Linda Noskova. This market will resolve to 'Linda Noskova' if Linda Noskova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 90.0¢36m ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 90.0¢36m ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 71.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 71.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aryna Sabalenka; negative values favor Linda Noskova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAryna Sabalenka · $125.9K
6hAryna Sabalenka · $235.9K
24hAryna Sabalenka · $226.5K

Aryna Sabalenka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aryna Sabalenka price. Linda Noskova fills are converted to the complementary Aryna Sabalenka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current88.5¢
VWAP 24h77.5¢▲ above by 11.0pp
VWAP 7d77.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aryna Sabalenka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$13.5K
85¢
← now
$109.8K
80¢
$58.3K
75¢
$32.4K
70¢
$219.9K
65¢
$28.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAryna Sabalenka$11.2K@ 80.0¢
willlyouare0x841d…4a16
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$30.0K@ 85.5¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLinda Noskova$10.0K@ 25.3¢
omomom30x0a53…077b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$15.9K@ 74.2¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$24.0K@ 72.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$16.2K@ 72.0¢0x075d…58c1🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$39.7K@ 71.5¢0x4247…91c4🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$35.0K@ 70.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYLinda Noskova$11.9K@ 31.0¢
HectorHuang0x568a…04d9
🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiAryna Sabalenka$50.9K
BUY VWAP 76.5¢·15 fills
0x4247…91c4Aryna Sabalenka$39.7K
BUY VWAP 71.5¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Aryna Sabalenka$35.0K
BUY VWAP 70.0¢·1 fill
hurricanAryna Sabalenka$30.0K
BUY VWAP 85.5¢·1 fill
kkookkooAryna Sabalenka$24.0K
BUY VWAP 72.9¢·1 fill
AntblackLinda Noskova$23.3K
BUY VWAP 18.7¢·3 fills
dmoralezAryna Sabalenka$16.6K
BUY VWAP 80.8¢·8 fills
0x075d…58c1Aryna Sabalenka$16.2K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
CORGI8Linda Noskova$14.7K
BUY VWAP 28.5¢·2 fills
HectorHuangLinda Noskova$11.9K
BUY VWAP 31.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.