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Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari

Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $60.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
55.0¢
Thiago Seyboth Wild
45.0¢
Francesco Ferrari
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:205 trades$581.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 50s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Francesco Ferrari · $7.8K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$14.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$111.4K@ 53¢·HVAB

Decision read paused

Market status is DISPUTED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

DISPUTED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
DISPUTED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-15 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Francesco Ferrari in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Francesco Ferrari. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Ferrari' if Francesco Ferrari advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Francesco Ferrari@ 46.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED +1.5pp1h STALLED -1.4pp
THESIS FLIPBUY Francesco Ferrari@ 46.2¢1h ago
15m STALLED +1.3pp1h STALLED -1.6pp
ANTI CHASESELL Thiago Seyboth Wild1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASESELL Thiago Seyboth Wild1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Thiago Seyboth Wild DOWN 4.2pp · near-book depth $11.8K → $24.0K · 84s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market disputed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thiago Seyboth Wild; negative values favor Francesco Ferrari. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThiago Seyboth Wild · $13.9K
6hThiago Seyboth Wild · $35.3K
24hThiago Seyboth Wild · $35.3K

Thiago Seyboth Wild price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thiago Seyboth Wild price. Francesco Ferrari fills are converted to the complementary Thiago Seyboth Wild probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current55.0¢
VWAP 24h71.2¢▼ below by 16.1pp
VWAP 7d71.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thiago Seyboth Wild price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$221.0K
90¢
$11
85¢
$3.6K
80¢
$6.2K
75¢
$132
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$12.3K
55¢
← now
$42.4K
50¢
$294.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$24.9K@ 51.1¢0xc707…6600🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$16.0K@ 57.0¢0xc707…6600🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFrancesco Ferrari$22.1K@ 47.9¢0x5bfe…3258🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$10.6K@ 52.2¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$36.8K@ 52.4¢0x5bfe…3258🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLThiago Seyboth Wild$111.4K@ 52.7¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$24.7K@ 99.0¢
arman19690xeda6…84c5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYThiago Seyboth Wild$37.6K@ 99.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5bfe…3258Thiago Seyboth Wild$136.7K
BUY VWAP 90.1¢·19 fills
0x5bfe…3258Francesco Ferrari$47.1K
BUY VWAP 46.9¢·10 fills
HVABThiago Seyboth Wild$41.5K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·3 fills
arman1969Thiago Seyboth Wild$26.0K
BUY VWAP 98.8¢·2 fills
0xc707…6600Thiago Seyboth Wild$18.3K
BUY VWAP 57.1¢·2 fills
0xc707…6600Francesco Ferrari$14.3K
BUY VWAP 49.2¢·4 fills
piagopilvaThiago Seyboth Wild$11.1K
BUY VWAP 97.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.