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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $180.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.7MEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
78.5¢
Invictus Gaming
21.5¢
LGD Gaming
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:286 trades$737.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $20.8K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$37.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLGD Gaming$126.6K@ 38¢·Diabolical-Prize

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW LGD Gaming SETUP
What the tape says

LGD Gaming pressure: $29.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$29.4K
6h
−$56.3K
tracked
$737.6K

7 verified profitable wallets: Invictus Gaming · $20.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 56

Since latest whale follow through: -16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LGD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-08 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Invictus Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Invictus Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Invictus Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8824 linked markets · $29.1K gross
0xe907…cff64 linked markets · $26.9K gross
StasPanda2 linked markets · $26.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY LGD Gaming@ 38.0¢42m ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY LGD Gaming@ 39.0¢50m ago
15m INVALIDATED -12.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY LGD Gaming@ 38.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Invictus Gaming@ 63.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLGD Gaming · $29.4K
6hLGD Gaming · $56.3K
24hLGD Gaming · $121.5K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current78.5¢
VWAP 24h65.1¢▲ above by 13.4pp
VWAP 7d65.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1.0K
75¢
← now
$118.6K
70¢
$1.8K
65¢
$316
60¢
$691.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYInvictus Gaming$15.2K@ 78.0¢
xasdasdas210xaaaa…74d8
🐋—9 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$49.6K@ 78.6¢
sulumos0x9db8…2eff
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYLGD Gaming$50.0K@ 38.9¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLGD Gaming$10.0K@ 38.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLGD Gaming$126.6K@ 38.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$37.8K@ 63.0¢
elPolloLoco0xa2f1…2d22
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$11.6K@ 63.0¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$16.0K@ 63.0¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$10.5K@ 37.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$14.1K@ 37.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$14.2K@ 63.0¢
sbsigner0x1b47…d814
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$11.1K@ 37.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$18.5K@ 37.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$11.1K@ 37.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$11.1K@ 37.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$16.6K@ 37.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—1 day ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$19.3K@ 64.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—1 day ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$18.5K@ 63.0¢
mimi1210x14af…ca2c
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeLGD Gaming$274.4K
BUY VWAP 37.5¢·17 fills
BrotherObamaLGD Gaming$60.0K
BUY VWAP 38.8¢·2 fills
elPolloLocoInvictus Gaming$37.8K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
mimi121Invictus Gaming$25.0K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·2 fills
sbsignerInvictus Gaming$20.7K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·3 fills
StasPandaInvictus Gaming$19.3K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
meoooowInvictus Gaming$19.0K
BUY VWAP 62.7¢·3 fills
Jer-PredictInvictus Gaming$16.0K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
alexdave888LGD Gaming$15.2K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·2 fills
xasdasdas21Invictus Gaming$15.2K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.