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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $739.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $838.0KEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
100.0¢
Invictus Gaming
0.1¢
LGD Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection24Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 19 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:270 trades$338.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $12.5K net·19 wallets·$42.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming$19.3K@ 99¢·zhaocaimao11

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

LGD Gaming pressure: $80.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$80.1K
6h
+$48.6K
tracked
$338.8K

19 verified profitable wallets: Invictus Gaming · $12.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LGD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-08 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against LGD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Invictus Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $296.9K gross
BrotherObama2 linked markets · $79.0K gross
0xe907…cff65 linked markets · $44.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Invictus Gaming DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $127 → $617 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLGD Gaming · $80.1K
6hInvictus Gaming · $48.6K
24hInvictus Gaming · $48.6K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h80.0¢▲ above by 20.0pp
VWAP 7d80.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$135.0K
90¢
$26.7K
85¢
$1.2K
80¢
$14.2K
75¢
$8.5K
70¢
$1.8K
65¢
$10.9K
60¢
$78.8K
55¢
$58.8K
50¢
$2.9K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLInvictus Gaming$15.0K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—38 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$11.5K@ 99.8¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$19.3K@ 99.0¢
zhaocaimao110x3090…be73
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$11.1K@ 59.0¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$18.6K@ 62.0¢
srar3330xef80…e64a
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

srar333Invictus Gaming$21.3K
BUY VWAP 61.5¢·2 fills
zhaocaimao11Invictus Gaming$19.3K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
JaJa888Invictus Gaming$16.2K
BUY VWAP 64.1¢·4 fills
0xf201…527eInvictus Gaming$14.8K
BUY VWAP 59.4¢·5 fills
Sisyphus.Invictus Gaming$14.3K
BUY VWAP 98.8¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.