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San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Sports→Closes: 4 daysLiquidity: $304.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $358.4KEvent: San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Reds
99.9¢
Over
1.0¢
Under
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$46.2K@ 50¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-02 16:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds combine to score 10 or more runs in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for September 2 at 12:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the San Diego Padres and Cincinnati Reds combine to score 10 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 4d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf3 linked markets · $52.4K gross
mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $5.4K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $4.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 50.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 50.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 49.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 52.0¢4d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $46.5K
6hUnder · $24.1K
24hUnder · $24.1K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h61.2¢▲ above by 38.7pp
VWAP 7d61.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$46.5K
90¢
$0
85¢
$2
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1
65¢
$7
60¢
$0
55¢
$72
50¢
$51.1K
45¢
$97.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLOver$44.7K@ 99.9¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—4 days ago
BUYOver$46.2K@ 50.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—4 days ago
BUYOver$17.0K@ 49.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—4 days ago
BUYOver$15.0K@ 49.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—4 days ago
BUYUnder$39.0K@ 52.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—4 days ago
BUYUnder$13.4K@ 51.0¢
monkeymashingkeyboard0x684b…8409
🐋—4 days ago
BUYUnder$10.4K@ 51.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Over$63.2K
BUY VWAP 49.7¢·2 fills
SDTradingUnder$39.0K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaOver$15.0K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
monkeymashingkeyboardUnder$13.4K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill
ic4creamUnder$10.4K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.