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LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 4 Winner

Sports→Settlement: Karmine CorpLiquidity: $533.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $373.8KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
100.0¢
Karmine Corp payout
0.0¢
GIANTX payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:106 trades$216.7K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 58%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1059 min agoofficial metadata 996 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Karmine Corp · $74.1K net·5 wallets(2🐋)·$79.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKarmine Corp$14.2K@ 99¢·0xf201…527e

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Karmine Corp. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-05 19:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 4 against GIANTX.

•This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 4 against Karmine Corp.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Karmine Corp and GIANTX in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Game 4 against GIANTX. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win Game 4 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $253.7K gross
Sisyphus.3 linked markets · $86.1K gross
Jer-Predict3 linked markets · $47.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Karmine Corp@ 95.0¢19h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Karmine Corp UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $77 → $529 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor GIANTX. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKarmine Corp · $0
6hKarmine Corp · $134.2K
24hKarmine Corp · $136.3K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. GIANTX fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h86.8¢▲ above by 13.2pp
VWAP 7d86.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$76.1K
90¢
$28.7K
85¢
$6.4K
80¢
$2.6K
75¢
$100.3K
70¢
$453
65¢
$2.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKarmine Corp$14.2K@ 99.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYKarmine Corp$12.7K@ 95.0¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYKarmine Corp$10.3K@ 78.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 19 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf201…527eKarmine Corp$63.9K
BUY VWAP 86.9¢·15 fills
Sisyphus.Karmine Corp$15.9K
BUY VWAP 95.0¢·2 fills
SineNooneEIKarmine Corp$10.3K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.