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New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

Sports→Settlement: New York YankeesLiquidity: $143.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $398.2KEvent: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres
100.0¢
New York Yankees payout
0.0¢
San Diego Padres payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:103 trades$117.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 562 min agoofficial metadata 540 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:New York Yankees · $1.4K net·4 wallets·$1.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Yankees$19.6K@ 49¢·SDTrading

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome New York Yankees. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

•This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 5 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY San Diego Padres@ 55.0¢21h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY New York Yankees@ 46.0¢21h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp
Latest book event: San Diego Padres DOWN 9.0pp · near-book depth $7 → $41 · 7s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Yankees; negative values favor San Diego Padres. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Yankees · $5.4K
6hNew York Yankees · $13.4K
24hSan Diego Padres · $9.7K

New York Yankees price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Yankees price. San Diego Padres fills are converted to the complementary New York Yankees probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h52.6¢▲ above by 47.4pp
VWAP 7d52.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Yankees price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.2K
90¢
$5.5K
85¢
$2.5K
80¢
$39
75¢
$1.1K
70¢
$4
65¢
$1
60¢
$0
55¢
$10
50¢
$0
45¢
$98.6K
40¢
$3.3K
35¢
$34
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSan Diego Padres$10.3K@ 54.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$12.1K@ 55.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYSan Diego Padres$11.8K@ 54.0¢
Talvez100xa710…23c4
🐋—about 22 hours ago
BUYNew York Yankees$19.6K@ 49.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 23 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingNew York Yankees$19.6K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·1 fill
Talvez10San Diego Padres$17.6K
BUY VWAP 53.3¢·2 fills
0x5e94…5ba1San Diego Padres$12.1K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafSan Diego Padres$10.3K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.