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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $243.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $344.7KEvent: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
41.5¢
Detroit Tigers payout
58.5¢
Cleveland Guardians payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:82 trades$165.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 680 min agoofficial metadata 659 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Cleveland Guardians · $14.7K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$33.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$67.5K@ 60¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 22:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for September 5 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 11h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 11h ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 60.0¢14h ago
15m INVALIDATED -14.0pp1h INVALIDATED -32.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 60.0¢17h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 59.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h INVALIDATED -58.4pp
Latest book event: Detroit Tigers UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $13.9K → $55 · 99s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Detroit Tigers; negative values favor Cleveland Guardians. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDetroit Tigers · $5.5K
6hCleveland Guardians · $53.2K
24hCleveland Guardians · $82.1K

Detroit Tigers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Detroit Tigers price. Cleveland Guardians fills are converted to the complementary Detroit Tigers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h48.5¢▼ below by 7.0pp
VWAP 7d48.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Detroit Tigers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$5.9K
90¢
$51
85¢
$3.4K
80¢
$227
75¢
$2.1K
70¢
$5.7K
65¢
$15.6K
60¢
$1.8K
55¢
$721
50¢
$9.4K
45¢
$26
40¢
← now
$120.2K
35¢
$137
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$19.2K@ 60.0¢
paquitomillonario0x04e6…3914
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$67.5K@ 60.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$29.5K@ 59.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 21 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1Cleveland Guardians$67.5K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingCleveland Guardians$29.5K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
paquitomillonarioCleveland Guardians$19.2K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.