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Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Sports→Settlement: Philadelphia PhilliesLiquidity: $210.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $314.8KEvent: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
0.0¢
Atlanta Braves payout
100.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:79 trades$162.5K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 52%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 677 min agoofficial metadata 660 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $18.3K net·4 wallets·$24.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$27.0K@ 60¢·SDTrading

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Philadelphia Phillies. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 22:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for September 5 at 6:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 90.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 84.0¢13h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies13h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 70.0¢14h ago
15m CONFIRMED +11.0pp1h CONFIRMED +19.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Atlanta Braves DOWN 9.0pp · near-book depth $229 → $91 · 53s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Atlanta Braves; negative values favor Philadelphia Phillies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $2.7K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $118.0K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $145.0K

Atlanta Braves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Atlanta Braves price. Philadelphia Phillies fills are converted to the complementary Atlanta Braves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h27.2¢▼ below by 27.2pp
VWAP 7d27.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Atlanta Braves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$2.0K
45¢
$14.1K
40¢
$44.4K
35¢
$14.5K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$99
15¢
$49.3K
10¢
$35.2K
5¢
$58
0¢
← now
$2.8K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$16.0K@ 82.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$10.9K@ 53.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$13.9K@ 60.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$27.0K@ 60.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingPhiladelphia Phillies$27.0K
BUY VWAP 60.0¢·1 fill
0x3dfb…abafPhiladelphia Phillies$24.8K
BUY VWAP 56.7¢·3 fills
sifonmanPhiladelphia Phillies$16.0K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·1 fill
edge7777Philadelphia Phillies$12.6K
BUY VWAP 86.1¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardPhiladelphia Phillies$11.8K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.