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San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets

Sports→Settlement: San Francisco GiantsLiquidity: $336.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $460.4KEvent: San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets
100.0¢
San Francisco Giants payout
0.0¢
New York Mets payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:103 trades$198.7K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 788 min agoofficial metadata 760 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:San Francisco Giants · $7.1K net·10 wallets·$29.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNew York Mets$61.3K@ 61¢·0x5e94…5ba1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome San Francisco Giants. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game.

•This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and New York Mets, scheduled for September 5 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $30.6K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $20.7K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $15.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY New York Mets@ 61.0¢18h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: New York Mets UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $1.2K → $4 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Francisco Giants; negative values favor New York Mets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Mets · $21.5K
6hNew York Mets · $88.2K
24hNew York Mets · $58.2K

San Francisco Giants price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Francisco Giants price. New York Mets fills are converted to the complementary San Francisco Giants probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h51.0¢▲ above by 49.0pp
VWAP 7d51.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Francisco Giants price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$27.7K
90¢
$1.5K
85¢
$9.0K
80¢
$2.0K
75¢
$6
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$71
50¢
$3.3K
45¢
$14.1K
40¢
$21.1K
35¢
$121.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLSan Francisco Giants$22.9K@ 99.9¢
devilbanker0xef1b…8697
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYNew York Mets$14.6K@ 61.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYNew York Mets$14.9K@ 61.0¢
ForMyFamily10x6055…5fde
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$12.7K@ 40.0¢0xe907…cff6🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYNew York Mets$61.3K@ 61.0¢0x5e94…5ba1🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants$10.7K@ 37.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 23 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5e94…5ba1New York Mets$62.6K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·2 fills
ForMyFamily1New York Mets$14.9K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
FeromontNew York Mets$14.6K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill
0xe907…cff6San Francisco Giants$14.2K
BUY VWAP 42.5¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardSan Francisco Giants$11.5K
BUY VWAP 58.9¢·3 fills
SDTradingSan Francisco Giants$10.7K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.