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Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners

Sports→Settlement: AthleticsLiquidity: $410.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $231.4KEvent: Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
100.0¢
Athletics payout
0.0¢
Seattle Mariners payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seattle Mariners · $196 net·10 wallets·$4.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSeattle Mariners$24.8K@ 70¢·kkookkoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Athletics. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 02:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for September 4 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Seattle Mariners@ 67.0¢4d ago
15m INVALIDATED -30.0pp1h INVALIDATED -32.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Athletics; negative values favor Seattle Mariners. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSeattle Mariners · $5.8K
6hSeattle Mariners · $44.5K
24hSeattle Mariners · $45.6K

Athletics price VWAP

Volume-weighted Athletics price. Seattle Mariners fills are converted to the complementary Athletics probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h49.7¢▲ above by 50.3pp
VWAP 7d49.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Athletics price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$2.8K
90¢
$1.1K
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$3.3K
75¢
$8.2K
70¢
$6.4K
65¢
$2.5K
60¢
$300
55¢
$3.9K
50¢
$14
45¢
$0
40¢
$184
35¢
$9.6K
30¢
$7.1K
25¢
$26.0K
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$15
10¢
$111
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSeattle Mariners$24.8K@ 70.1¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—4 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooSeattle Mariners$24.8K
BUY VWAP 70.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.