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New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $429.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $768.0KEvent: New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays
38.5¢
New York Mets payout
61.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $40.3K net·9 wallets(1🐋)·$54.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTampa Bay Rays$98.6K@ 63¢·0xf668…5c69

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-07 22:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 31 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SDTrading2 linked markets · $43.0K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $7.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

COUNTER FLOWBUY New York Mets@ 38.0¢6d ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWSELL Tampa Bay Rays@ 62.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -4.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 64.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Tampa Bay Rays@ 64.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor New York Mets; negative values favor Tampa Bay Rays. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNew York Mets · $61.0K
6hNew York Mets · $117.4K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $70.1K

New York Mets price VWAP

Volume-weighted New York Mets price. Tampa Bay Rays fills are converted to the complementary New York Mets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current38.5¢
VWAP 24h46.9¢▼ below by 8.4pp
VWAP 7d46.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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New York Mets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$14.4K
90¢
$140
85¢
$0
80¢
$74.7K
75¢
$6.8K
70¢
$0
65¢
$7.0K
60¢
$648
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
← now
$357.6K
30¢
$28
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNew York Mets$13.2K@ 81.0¢
sifonman0x6ac9…e85a
🐋—5 days ago
BUYNew York Mets$15.8K@ 81.0¢
edge77770xdf60…08c7
🐋—5 days ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$36.0K@ 63.0¢
xifutloong30x2dc1…b33c
🐋—6 days ago
SELLTampa Bay Rays$10.9K@ 63.0¢0xf668…5c69🐋—6 days ago
SELLTampa Bay Rays$98.6K@ 63.0¢0xf668…5c69🐋—6 days ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$20.0K@ 64.0¢0xf668…5c69🐋—6 days ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$43.4K@ 64.9¢0xf668…5c69🐋—6 days ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$75.2K@ 63.9¢0xf668…5c69🐋—6 days ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$37.2K@ 62.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—6 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf668…5c69Tampa Bay Rays$138.6K
BUY VWAP 64.2¢·3 fills
SDTradingTampa Bay Rays$37.2K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
xifutloong3Tampa Bay Rays$36.0K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
sifonmanNew York Mets$27.5K
BUY VWAP 79.8¢·4 fills
edge7777New York Mets$23.3K
BUY VWAP 79.1¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.