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Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: SpiritLiquidity: $1.6MOfficial 24h Vol: $3.2MEvent: Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
0.0¢
FUT Esports payout
100.0¢
Spirit payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:547 trades$1.5M tracked3% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 375 min agoofficial metadata 368 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spirit · $806.4K net·11 wallets(3🐋)·$891.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpirit$423.5K@ 72¢·Djdjdjekekek

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Spirit. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 18:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Spirit.

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against FUT Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand final match between FUT Esports and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against FUT Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f5 linked markets · $299.8K gross
1111111111152 linked markets · $166.3K gross
0x0063…2dd24 linked markets · $137.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Spirit7h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Spirit@ 89.0¢7h ago
15m CONFIRMED +3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Spirit@ 89.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Spirit@ 74.0¢9h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -11.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Spirit UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.9K → $4.2K · 14s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FUT Esports; negative values favor Spirit. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFUT Esports · $7.6K
6hSpirit · $824.3K
24hSpirit · $846.2K

FUT Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted FUT Esports price. Spirit fills are converted to the complementary FUT Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h25.2¢▼ below by 25.2pp
VWAP 7d25.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FUT Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$1.5K
40¢
$80.4K
35¢
$27.8K
30¢
$89.4K
25¢
$931.7K
20¢
$153.7K
15¢
$19.1K
10¢
$110.7K
5¢
$21.5K
0¢
← now
$69.7K

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYSpirit$31.5K@ 90.0¢
Rusik70xa6a0…4469
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYSpirit$12.9K@ 89.0¢
Rusik70xa6a0…4469
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYSpirit$38.3K@ 89.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYSpirit$225.1K@ 72.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYSpirit$423.5K@ 72.4¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYSpirit$12.1K@ 70.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYFUT Esports$15.1K@ 34.0¢
Euan0xdd22…9ef1
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYSpirit$14.0K@ 65.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYSpirit$13.5K@ 80.9¢
lckkingggg0xb487…86d7
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYSpirit$20.0K@ 75.7¢0xfeac…32bf🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYSpirit$10.0K@ 75.8¢0xfeac…32bf🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYSpirit$10.0K@ 76.0¢0xfeac…32bf🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYSpirit$10.0K@ 75.7¢0xfeac…32bf🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYSpirit$31.4K@ 75.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYFUT Esports$54.1K@ 26.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYFUT Esports$17.5K@ 25.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYFUT Esports$15.0K@ 25.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYSpirit$14.1K@ 76.0¢
JUSTINHERBERTMVP0x86e9…4cdf
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYSpirit$20.3K@ 76.0¢
jaytee1580xa2c9…2c23
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekSpirit$675.5K
BUY VWAP 72.4¢·5 fills
111111111115FUT Esports$114.3K
BUY VWAP 25.7¢·8 fills
0x1610…ae49Spirit$58.5K
BUY VWAP 81.6¢·7 fills
0xfeac…32bfSpirit$56.8K
BUY VWAP 75.8¢·5 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fSpirit$52.8K
BUY VWAP 66.1¢·29 fills
Rusik7Spirit$46.0K
BUY VWAP 89.7¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Spirit$31.4K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill
jaytee158Spirit$20.3K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
0x29b5…cc6cFUT Esports$18.4K
BUY VWAP 24.8¢·8 fills
5e46hSpirit$15.9K
BUY VWAP 98.6¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.