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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: RESOLVEDLiquidity: $3.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $7.4MEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
58.5¢
FURIA payout
41.5¢
FUT Esports payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FUT Esports · $442.3K net·29 wallets(6🐋)·$2.5M gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFUT Esports$1.0M@ 45¢·Djdjdjekekek

Historical decision record

Market resolved. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against FUT Esports.

•This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against FURIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between FURIA and FUT Esports in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 5, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f3 linked markets · $241.4K gross
MysteryPlayerrrrrrrrr4 linked markets · $121.5K gross
0x1610…ae493 linked markets · $118.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA@ 45.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASESELL FUT Esports1d ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY FUT Esports@ 86.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWSELL FUT Esports@ 67.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor FUT Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFURIA · $926.0K
6hFUT Esports · $236.0K
24hFUT Esports · $229.5K

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. FUT Esports fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current58.5¢
VWAP 24h43.3¢▲ above by 15.2pp
VWAP 7d43.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$6.8K
85¢
$51.8K
80¢
$19.0K
75¢
$29.3K
70¢
$29.9K
65¢
$407.4K
60¢
$525.3K
55¢
← now
$1.5M
50¢
$119.9K
45¢
$43.9K
40¢
$165.7K
35¢
$43.7K
30¢
$23.3K
25¢
$11.6K
20¢
$21.3K
15¢
$6.5K
10¢
$32.9K
5¢
$23.2K
0¢
$930.8K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFUT Esports$835.7K@ 99.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—1 day ago
SELLFUT Esports$20.0K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—1 day ago
SELLFUT Esports$10.9K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$15.0K@ 92.0¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$16.3K@ 42.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$10.1K@ 69.9¢
spreadcorearb0x898b…6c00
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$16.6K@ 36.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$12.6K@ 36.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$18.0K@ 36.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$39.4K@ 65.0¢
kahe0x88d1…18da
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$10.5K@ 35.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$35.0K@ 35.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—1 day ago
SELLFURIA$101.1K@ 65.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—1 day ago
SELLFURIA$16.9K@ 64.0¢
lmtscapt0x5556…2759
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$28.2K@ 65.0¢
MysteryPlayerrrrrrrrr0xf9d6…730a
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$46.4K@ 58.9¢
jjj19840xec86…f3b0
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$10.0K@ 42.0¢0x4cf2…2057🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$21.3K@ 59.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$13.9K@ 40.0¢
MysteryPlayerrrrrrrrr0xf9d6…730a
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$10.3K@ 39.0¢
lmtscapt0x5556…2759
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$10.0K@ 46.7¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$17.6K@ 43.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$29.9K@ 42.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$211.9K@ 44.7¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$1.0M@ 44.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$60.4K@ 59.0¢
hansama2310x381b…4d74
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$15.0K@ 60.0¢
KingOfEsports0x07b1…6dfc
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$14.8K@ 40.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$88.0K@ 40.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$17.7K@ 61.0¢
dauntlesswitness0xf177…5f6a
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$10.3K@ 61.0¢
Popstp0x40da…e947
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$34.5K@ 61.0¢
Sickasulu0xa69d…509b
🐋—1 day ago
BUYFUT Esports$14.2K@ 40.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—1 day ago
BUYFURIA$24.0K@ 60.0¢
skyman440x30c7…ac3b
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekFUT Esports$1.2M
BUY VWAP 44.8¢·3 fills
111111111115FUT Esports$214.8K
BUY VWAP 37.8¢·10 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fFURIA$74.0K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·53 fills
0x2c33…0563FUT Esports$71.0K
BUY VWAP 42.5¢·15 fills
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fFUT Esports$67.8K
BUY VWAP 51.5¢·66 fills
0x1610…ae49FUT Esports$60.5K
BUY VWAP 46.9¢·18 fills
hansama231FURIA$60.4K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
jjj1984FURIA$60.0K
BUY VWAP 58.5¢·3 fills
MysteryPlayerrrrrrrrrFURIA$44.3K
BUY VWAP 52.8¢·4 fills
SickasuluFURIA$44.1K
BUY VWAP 55.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.