Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5

● quote 50 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $96.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $201.1KEvent: Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings

48.5¢

YES

51.5¢

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets66Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:25 trades$77.4K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 59 min agoofficial metadata 53 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$7.8K·2 wallets·$7.9K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver (YES)$29.4K@ 50¢·huli3882

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$279

+$36.2K

tracked

$77.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$7.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Executable quote is 50 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 59 minutes old.
•Official market metadata is 53 minutes old.
•Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-21 00:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 20 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Indiana Fever and Dallas Wings combine to score 186 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 186, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 49.0¢6h ago

15m STALLED +1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 51.0¢8h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$279

6h+$36.2K

24h+$23.6K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current48.5¢

VWAP 24h50.0¢▼ below by 1.5pp

VWAP 7d50.0¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢