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LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $154.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $191.8KEvent: LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
7.0¢
Dignitas
93.0¢
FlyQuest
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly41Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets79Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:48 trades$58.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dignitas · $8.9K net·3 wallets·$11.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlyQuest$17.6K@ 76¢·Elaran1993

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$636
6h
−$12.3K
tracked
$58.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Dignitas · $8.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +17.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 17.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-24 03:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win the match against FlyQuest.

•This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Dignitas.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Dignitas and FlyQuest in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win the match against FlyQuest. This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Dignitas. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x67ba…246c2 linked markets · $7.5K gross
MissingJoy2 linked markets · $6.8K gross
0x6918…782b3 linked markets · $5.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY FlyQuest@ 77.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: FlyQuest DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $16.8K → $3.3K · 43s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dignitas; negative values favor FlyQuest. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlyQuest · $636
6hFlyQuest · $12.3K
24hFlyQuest · $24.9K

Dignitas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dignitas price. FlyQuest fills are converted to the complementary Dignitas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current7.0¢
VWAP 24h23.7¢▼ below by 16.7pp
VWAP 7d23.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Dignitas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$7.4K
20¢
$50.8K
15¢
$0
10¢
$48
5¢
← now
$698
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFlyQuest$17.6K@ 76.0¢
Elaran19930xb727…2a9d
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Elaran1993FlyQuest$23.1K
BUY VWAP 75.7¢·3 fills
BrotherObamaDignitas$10.0K
BUY VWAP 24.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.