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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Sports→Settlement: LGD GamingLiquidity: $938.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $899.4KEvent: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.0¢
ThunderTalk Gaming payout
100.0¢
LGD Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:272 trades$370.3K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 745 min agoofficial metadata 707 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:ThunderTalk Gaming · $17.2K net·9 wallets·$24.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLGD Gaming$33.0K@ 100¢·hurrican

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome LGD Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against LGD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
NrNrfNrf22 linked markets · $75.2K gross
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl63 linked markets · $38.9K gross
geiyecapixie2 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY LGD Gaming@ 80.0¢15h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY ThunderTalk Gaming15h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY ThunderTalk Gaming@ 31.0¢15h ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: ThunderTalk Gaming UP 6.5pp · near-book depth $44 → $94 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor ThunderTalk Gaming; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThunderTalk Gaming · $1.6K
6hThunderTalk Gaming · $57.2K
24hThunderTalk Gaming · $57.2K

ThunderTalk Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted ThunderTalk Gaming price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary ThunderTalk Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h19.3¢▼ below by 19.3pp
VWAP 7d19.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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ThunderTalk Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$76
45¢
$62.4K
40¢
$30.9K
35¢
$9.8K
30¢
$26.6K
25¢
$8.7K
20¢
$21.8K
15¢
$38.2K
10¢
$21.4K
5¢
$756
0¢
← now
$149.6K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLGD Gaming$33.0K@ 99.9¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—about 14 hours ago
SELLLGD Gaming$10.6K@ 99.9¢
Lucas1tb0xe1f3…5402
🐋—about 14 hours ago
SELLLGD Gaming$12.9K@ 99.9¢
NrNrfNrf20xf70f…3c97
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115ThunderTalk Gaming$26.5K
BUY VWAP 46.6¢·6 fills
0xf030…12e2LGD Gaming$17.0K
BUY VWAP 70.7¢·11 fills
JaJa888LGD Gaming$12.9K
BUY VWAP 77.9¢·4 fills
geiyecapixieLGD Gaming$10.8K
BUY VWAP 74.6¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.