Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B

● quote 354 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $1.1MEvent: Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets13Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 88%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:168 trades$574.2K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 359 min agoofficial metadata 356 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$6.9K·3 wallets(2🐋)·$54.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNIP (YES)$189.1K@ 100¢·111111111115

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

NO pressure: −$145.9K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
−$145.9K
6h
−$155.9K
tracked
$574.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$6.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 88% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 354 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 359 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 356 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between NIP and BetBoom Team in the Esports World Cup Group B, initially scheduled for August 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "NIP" if NIP win the match against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against NIP. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x6e2c…787c2 linked markets · $39.2K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $36.1K gross
5e46h2 linked markets · $32.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY BetBoom Team6h ago
Outcome checks pending
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY NIP@ 80.0¢6h ago
Outcome checks pending
DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY BetBoom Team@ 24.0¢6h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY NIP7h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: YES DOWN 3.0pp · near-book depth $24.5K$6.5K · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$145.9K
6h$155.9K
24h$127.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h71.7¢▲ above by 28.3pp
VWAP 7d71.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$69.5K
55¢
$1.8K
50¢
$132
45¢
$7.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$122.8K
30¢
$38.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYBetBoom Team (NO)$27.3K@ 39.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋about 7 hours ago
BUYNIP (YES)$15.8K@ 62.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋about 7 hours ago
BUYNIP (YES)$18.0K@ 36.0¢0x73e3…1be9🐋about 8 hours ago
BUYNIP (YES)$18.0K@ 36.0¢0x73e3…1be9🐋about 8 hours ago
BUYNIP (YES)$25.9K@ 35.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 15 hours ago
BUYNIP (YES)$14.7K@ 34.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 16 hours ago
BUYBetBoom Team (NO)$15.3K@ 66.0¢
AV23IUa0xdb85…152f
🐋about 17 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115NIP$40.6K
BUY VWAP 34.6¢·2 fills
0x73e3…1be9NIP$36.0K
BUY VWAP 36.0¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49BetBoom Team$27.3K
BUY VWAP 39.0¢·1 fill
CORGI8NIP$15.8K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill
AV23IUaBetBoom Team$15.3K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
0x29b5…cc6cNIP$12.6K
BUY VWAP 34.4¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.