LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 156 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $754.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
1.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:284 trades$462.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 259 min agoofficial metadata 146 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLJD Gaming (NO)$25.2K@ 100¢·0xa103…1c14

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$161.4K
tracked
$462.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: −$8.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 156 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 259 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 146 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 17:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win Game 1 against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win Game 1 against Anyone's Legend. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xcae6…4f853 linked markets · $73.2K gross
JaJa6683 linked markets · $65.8K gross
0xdac3…66d83 linked markets · $51.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY JD Gaming@ 39.0¢7h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Anyones Legend@ 62.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $37$65 · 2s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$161.4K
24h+$162.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h25.8¢▼ below by 24.8pp
VWAP 7d25.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$8.6K
60¢
$84.8K
55¢
$51.9K
50¢
$22.3K
45¢
$461
40¢
$1.9K
35¢
$3.0K
30¢
$68
25¢
$44.0K
20¢
$5.7K
15¢
$1.6K
10¢
$4.5K
5¢
$24.0K
0¢
← now
$209.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLJD Gaming (NO)$21.8K@ 99.9¢
JaJa6680x3ebd…b66a
🐋about 5 hours ago
SELLJD Gaming (NO)$25.2K@ 99.9¢0xa103…1c14🐋about 6 hours ago
SELLJD Gaming (NO)$10.9K@ 99.9¢0x84fb…675e🐋about 6 hours ago
SELLJD Gaming (NO)$11.1K@ 99.9¢0x3eb3…4d75🐋about 7 hours ago
BUYJD Gaming (NO)$19.8K@ 98.9¢0xb041…5b72🐋about 7 hours ago
BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$10.7K@ 64.0¢0x24be…ad1a🐋about 8 hours ago
BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$10.8K@ 55.0¢0xf201…527e🐋about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xb041…5b72JD Gaming$19.8K
BUY VWAP 98.9¢·1 fill
0xcae6…4f85JD Gaming$18.2K
BUY VWAP 89.5¢·11 fills
0xf201…527eAnyones Legend$12.5K
BUY VWAP 48.4¢·2 fills
0x24be…ad1aAnyones Legend$10.7K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
0xf030…12e2JD Gaming$10.2K
BUY VWAP 60.9¢·6 fills
five5120Anyones Legend$10.0K
BUY VWAP 64.5¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.