Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

● quote 12 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $2.2MOfficial 24h Vol: $479.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets32Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:121 trades$136.9K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 15 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $9.1K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$19.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLB8 (YES)$16.6K@ 100¢·redvinny

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$69.0K
tracked
$136.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$9.1K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 12 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 76 minutes old.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-14 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between B8 and Vitality in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win Map 2 against Vitality. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against B8. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $73.0K gross
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $36.0K gross
0x0063…2dd23 linked markets · $35.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 5.0pp · near-book depth $1.0K$4.2K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$69.0K
24h$69.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h66.3¢▲ above by 33.7pp
VWAP 7d66.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$62.1K
90¢
$19
85¢
$250
80¢
$3.1K
75¢
$1.4K
70¢
$0
65¢
$15.0K
60¢
$1.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.8K
45¢
$1.8K
40¢
$5.0K
35¢
$929
30¢
$4.1K
25¢
$11.9K
20¢
$7.8K
15¢
$11.7K
10¢
$583
5¢
$5.8K
0¢
$401

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLB8 (YES)$16.6K@ 99.9¢
redvinny0x56c9…0d9e
🐋about 2 hours ago
SELLB8 (YES)$14.2K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.