LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

● quote 22 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $994.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $825.1KEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

0.1¢

YES

99.9¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:196 trades$343.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 45 min agoofficial metadata 24 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$23.5K·3 wallets(2🐋)·$116.9K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLNongshim Red Force (NO)$40.9K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

+$74

+$98.4K

tracked

$343.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: +$23.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest confirmed build: -7.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 22 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 45 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

proposed

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-12 12:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

5e46h3 linked markets · $179.1K gross

ThornyDevil3 linked markets · $103.7K gross

five51203 linked markets · $88.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

CONFIRMED BUILDBUY DN SOOPers@ 8.0¢3h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

ANTI CHASEBUY Nongshim Red Force3h ago

Outcome checks pending

ANTI CHASEBUY Nongshim Red Force3h ago

Outcome checks pending

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Nongshim Red Force@ 44.0¢3h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$74

6h+$98.4K

24h+$98.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h19.2¢▼ below by 19.1pp

VWAP 7d19.2¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

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75¢

70¢

65¢

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55¢