LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner

● quote 1766 min ago
SportsCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $433.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $265.0KEvent: LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFluxo W7M (NO)$12.5K@ 49¢·0x5dd9…420f

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$6.5K
tracked
$31.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$10 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Only 0 tracked trades / 46 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • Executable quote is 1766 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 1984 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-08 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Vivo Keyd Stars and Fluxo W7M in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars" if Vivo Keyd Stars win Game 1 against Fluxo W7M. This market will resolve to "Fluxo W7M" if Fluxo W7M win Game 1 against Vivo Keyd Stars. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x141a…d05a2 linked markets · $10.1K gross
0xef26…05ba2 linked markets · $8.2K gross
0x8342…6dc82 linked markets · $2.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h$6.5K
24h$6.5K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h47.2¢▼ below by 47.1pp
VWAP 7d47.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4
50¢
$16.6K
45¢
$10.4K
40¢
$1.5K
35¢
$191
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$11
5¢
$98
0¢
← now
$306

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYVivo Keyd Stars (YES)$10.4K@ 47.0¢0x8c0b…7aa5🐋1 day ago
BUYFluxo W7M (NO)$12.5K@ 48.8¢0x5dd9…420f🐋1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5dd9…420fFluxo W7M$13.8K
BUY VWAP 48.9¢·2 fills
0x8c0b…7aa5Vivo Keyd Stars$10.4K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.