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National Bank Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar

● quote 1724 min ago
Finance→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $407.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $261.2KEvent: National Bank Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar
8.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly93Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:37 trades$6.8K trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1755 min agoofficial metadata 1717 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnna Bondar (NO)$12.7K@ 69¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$237
6h
−$15.2K
tracked
$6.8K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$9 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 1724 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 1755 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 1717 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-10 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Anhelina Kalinina and Anna Bondar in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anhelina Kalinina' if Anhelina Kalinina advances against Anna Bondar. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Anhelina Kalinina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $62 → $1 · 3s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$237
6h−$15.2K
24h−$15.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current8.0¢
VWAP 24h37.2¢▼ below by 29.2pp
VWAP 7d37.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$945
45¢
$7.2K
40¢
$32
35¢
$30
30¢
$13.0K
25¢
$555
20¢
$30
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
← now
$0
0¢
$113

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYAnna Bondar (NO)$12.7K@ 69.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooAnna Bondar$12.7K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.