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UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims)

● quote 432 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $76.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $264.0KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Cody Gibson vs. Abdul Hussein (Bantamweight, Prelims)
1.0¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly24Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution26Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%
24h sample:33 trades$70.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 441 min agoofficial metadata 431 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAbdul Hussein (NO)$61.5K@ 82¢·0xf3a6…71bd

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$61
6h
−$69.9K
tracked
$70.9K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 432 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 441 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 431 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-26 03:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Cody Gibson" if Cody Gibson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Abdul Hussein at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov, scheduled for July 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Abdul Hussein" if Abdul Hussein is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 8, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Abdul Hussein8h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Abdul Hussein@ 82.0¢8h ago
15m INVALIDATED -5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $155 → $154 · 1s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$61
6h−$69.9K
24h−$69.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h17.9¢▼ below by 16.9pp
VWAP 7d17.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$70.3K
10¢
$0
5¢
$104
0¢
← now
$248

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYAbdul Hussein (NO)$61.5K@ 82.0¢0xf3a6…71bd🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xf3a6…71bdAbdul Hussein$67.2K
BUY VWAP 82.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.