LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
● quote 281 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $380.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.6MEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 48%
24h sample:29 trades$11.0K trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 65%
tape 296 min agoofficial metadata 281 min ago
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
What the tape says
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1h
$0
6h
−$7.2K
tracked
$11.0K
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 48% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Risks / missing evidence
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.
- •BUY/SELL is known for 65% of tracked volume.
- •Executable quote is 281 minutes old.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.
Price History
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…
Market Analytics
LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.1h−$0
6h−$7.2K
24h−$7.2K
YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h99.9¢▲ above by 0.1pp
VWAP 7d99.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.
Largest holders
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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
95¢
← now
$7.2K90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0
VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity
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Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity