US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

GeopoliticsCloses: 29 daysLiquidity: $1.7M24h Vol: $49.0M
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
99.9¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)
🏆 Biggest bet:YES$506.6K@ 100¢·FallingStars

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.disputed

Net Order Flow

Net Order Flow = YES buy volume minus NO buy volume. Positive (green) = more money betting YES. Negative (red) = more money betting NO. Positive flow at stable/falling price often signals smart accumulation.
1h+$0
6h+$0
24h+$0
Position ConcentrationWallets with ≥15% share of 7-day volume. >40% = single player dominates = manipulation risk or thin liquidity. Multiple large holders may indicate coordinated activity.

Top Holders · 30d

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Volume Profile · 30d (price × volume)

95¢
← now
$4.9M
90¢
$535.7K
85¢
$544.9K
80¢
$962.8K
75¢
$771.9K
70¢
$601.9K
65¢
$272.4K
60¢
$368.4K
55¢
$481.6K
50¢
$542.1K
45¢
$441.1K
40¢
$397.2K
35¢
$257.2K
30¢
$233.1K
25¢
$245.8K
20¢
$180.8K
15¢
$371.5K
10¢
$143.0K
5¢
$82.4K
0¢
$40.7K

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Accumulation

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Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
YES$50.0K@ 99.9¢0x88ed…6cfb🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$15.0K@ 99.9¢
ochran0x8ebf…83ce
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$119.9K@ 99.9¢
ochran0x8ebf…83ce
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$15.0K@ 99.9¢
PantheraUncia0xcf19…6402
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$10.2K@ 99.9¢0xbd81…006d🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$25.0K@ 99.9¢0x3670…34f9🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$110.4K@ 99.8¢0x0c10…f96a🐋+0.1%11 days ago
YES$39.9K@ 99.7¢
debased0x24c8…23e1
🐋+0.2%11 days ago
YES$214.8K@ 99.6¢0x1295…5cfd🐋+0.3%11 days ago
YES$38.5K@ 99.7¢
classified0x12d6…f2a8
🐋+0.2%11 days ago
YES$19.9K@ 99.7¢
ochran0x8ebf…83ce
🐋+0.2%11 days ago
YES$20.0K@ 99.9¢0x45bc…978b🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$10.1K@ 99.9¢
debased0x24c8…23e1
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$13.0K@ 99.8¢
pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489
🐋+0.1%11 days ago
YES$16.6K@ 99.9¢
classified0x12d6…f2a8
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$30.0K@ 99.9¢
PantheraUncia0xcf19…6402
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$13.9K@ 99.9¢
bosshog0x47ab…95df
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$10.5K@ 99.9¢0xb96a…000b🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$25.1K@ 99.9¢
WW3-Monitor0xe234…304a
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$372.3K@ 99.9¢
BenzoateOstylezeneBicarbonate0xadc2…d1c9
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$203.7K@ 99.9¢0x5f8f…40cf🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$11.1K@ 99.9¢
HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$46.1K@ 99.9¢0xd039…2532🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$82.4K@ 99.9¢
TateIsAManlet0x3265…34c3
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$58.9K@ 99.9¢0x20b4…e8aa🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$20.0K@ 99.9¢0xd52b…5c72🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$50.0K@ 99.9¢0xc9b6…9b6a🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$15.0K@ 99.9¢0xc30c…6509🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$14.0K@ 99.9¢0xc30c…6509🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$65.6K@ 99.9¢0x0f0c…fb96🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$30.0K@ 99.9¢0xd52b…5c72🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$59.0K@ 99.9¢
flying-wheel0x3148…bc30
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$21.5K@ 99.9¢0x583e…1d4b🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$40.3K@ 99.9¢
Flipadelphia0x4488…e319
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$10.0K@ 99.9¢
Oddn0xa53c…67a5
🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$40.0K@ 99.9¢0xd25b…9f3d🐋+0.0%11 days ago
YES$137.6K@ 99.9¢0xc294…4798🐋+0.0%12 days ago
YES$506.6K@ 99.9¢
FallingStars0x3fc9…e6ea
🐋+0.0%12 days ago
YES$12.5K@ 99.9¢0x531b…32b6🐋+0.0%12 days ago
YES$104.7K@ 99.8¢
richersob0x4099…9fb8
🐋+0.1%12 days ago
YES$104.1K@ 99.7¢
ochran0x8ebf…83ce
🐋+0.2%12 days ago
YES$104.0K@ 99.7¢
ochran0x8ebf…83ce
🐋+0.2%12 days ago
YES$11.2K@ 99.5¢
Debosnys0x7e30…1e50
🐋+0.4%12 days ago
YES$328.5K@ 99.2¢
SlotinCap0xa551…e050
🐋+0.7%12 days ago
YES$69.0K@ 99.2¢0xdcc0…22e1🐋+0.7%12 days ago
YES$35.0K@ 99.0¢0x49d2…59f7🐋+0.9%12 days ago
YES$20.6K@ 99.3¢
JJo0xc408…4675
🐋+0.6%12 days ago
YES$14.2K@ 99.2¢
JJo0xc408…4675
🐋+0.7%12 days ago
YES$44.7K@ 98.9¢
FallingStars0x3fc9…e6ea
🐋+1.0%12 days ago
YES$64.9K@ 98.8¢
FallingStars0x3fc9…e6ea
🐋+1.1%12 days ago
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity